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April 25, 2000 (probable)·Letter read on air·2 min·at 1:14:18 in the broadcast

Letter: A father hears a moan at the time of his mother-in-law's death

Art Bell reads a letter that he attributes on air to “Chris in Mesa.” The letter describes the writer's father hearing a deep moan on a deserted path in northern Marin County, California, on the afternoon the writer's grandmother died. The father noted the time on his wristwatch as 2:40 p.m. A nurse later phoned the family at 2:50 p.m. to say the grandmother had died ten minutes earlier. The letter closes by saying an Irish friend told the father this was known as the [quote withheld]

Story statusAI draft, not yet checked
Start and end pointsNot yet checked · confidence 0.88
How it was toldSecondhand · Letter read on air
0:00 / 1:37
Play
0:07 · On a sunny afternoon in northern Marin County, California, the day the writer's grandmother died, the father walks to the Frank Lloyd Wright Civic Center Library to return books checked out the previous week.0:22 · Walking home, the father feels a slight breeze against his neck and hears a deep moan that seems to come from nowhere.0:33 · He glances at his digital wristwatch at the moment of the moan. The time is 2:40 p.m.0:42 · He feels very uneasy. The path is completely deserted, with not even an animal nearby.0:55 · He arrives home just after three o'clock. The writer's mother tells him a nurse from the convalescent hospital phoned at exactly 2:50 p.m. to say the grandmother had died ten minutes earlier.1:18 · Weeks later, an Irish friend of the father says he has heard of this kind of thing. The Irish knew it as the [quote withheld]1:31 · The letter adds that the grandmother was “100% Irish.”
clip start● reported events: click one to jump thereclip end

This clip comes from the source recording. AI chose where it starts and ends, so it may start or end a little early or late. The word-for-word transcript is not published. You can hear the source recording on the Internet Archive (file “Ghost to Ghost 2000-2.mp3”, starting at 1:14:18). Is this you, or someone you know? Ask for a correction or removal.

The story as told

According to a letter read on air by Art Bell and attributed, in the host's aside, to Chris in Mesa, the events involve the writer's father. On a sunny afternoon in northern Marin County, California, the day the writer's grandmother died, the father walked to the Frank Lloyd Wright Civic Center Library to return books he had checked out the previous week. On his way home, the letter says, he felt a slight breeze against his neck and heard a deep moan that seemed to come from nowhere. He glanced at his digital wristwatch at the moment of the moan and saw that the time was 2:40 p.m. He felt very uneasy because, the letter states, the path was completely deserted and there was not even an animal anywhere near. Within minutes he was home. As he entered the house just after three o'clock, the writer's mother told him she had received a phone call from the convalescent hospital where the grandmother had been living. According to the letter, a nurse phoned at exactly 2:50 p.m. to say the grandmother had just died ten minutes earlier, at about 2:40 p.m. Weeks later, an Irish friend of the father told him he had heard of this kind of thing before. The Irish knew it as the [quote withheld] The letter ends with the aside that the grandmother was “100% Irish.”

Reported events, in order

  1. 0:07

    On a sunny afternoon in northern Marin County, California, the day the writer's grandmother died, the father walks to the Frank Lloyd Wright Civic Center Library to return books checked out the previous week.

  2. 0:22

    Walking home, the father feels a slight breeze against his neck and hears a deep moan that seems to come from nowhere.

  3. 0:33

    He glances at his digital wristwatch at the moment of the moan. The time is 2:40 p.m.

  4. 0:42

    He feels very uneasy. The path is completely deserted, with not even an animal nearby.

  5. 0:55

    He arrives home just after three o'clock. The writer's mother tells him a nurse from the convalescent hospital phoned at exactly 2:50 p.m. to say the grandmother had died ten minutes earlier.

  6. 1:18

    Weeks later, an Irish friend of the father says he has heard of this kind of thing. The Irish knew it as the [quote withheld]

  7. 1:31

    The letter adds that the grandmother was “100% Irish.”

Claims

Each claim is labeled as something the person telling the story noticed (observation), what they made of it (interpretation), something others told them (hearsay), or something the host said (host statement).

  • observation· 0:22

    The father felt a slight breeze against his neck and heard a deep moan that seemed to come from nowhere while walking home on a deserted path.

  • observation· 0:33

    He looked at his digital wristwatch at the moment of the moan, and it read 2:40 p.m.

  • observation· 0:49

    The path was completely deserted, and there was not even an animal nearby.

  • hearsay· 1:07

    His mother told him a nurse had phoned at exactly 2:50 p.m. to say the grandmother had died ten minutes earlier, which puts the death at about 2:40 p.m., the moment of the moan.

  • hearsay· 1:25

    An Irish friend of the father said he had heard of this kind of thing before and that the Irish knew it as the [quote withheld]

  • hearsay· 1:31

    The letter states the grandmother was “100% Irish.”

Scores, with reasons

An AI model gave these scores using a fixed set of scoring rules (scoring-v1). They are editorial judgments and rough guides, not the odds that anything paranormal happened. How scoring works.

Believability
A rough guide to how credible the story is as told
55

This is a brief, consistent secondhand story with concrete place and clock details. But it has no date, no witness on the air, and an easy coincidence explanation. The secondhand cap of 60 applies.

Evidence for and against
For
  • Concrete setting and sequence are given: library walk, breeze, moan, watch reading.
  • The two times fit together: moan at 2:40 p.m., nurse's call at 2:50 p.m. reporting a death ten minutes earlier.
  • The letter states the path was deserted with no animal nearby, which rules out an obvious animal explanation.
Against
  • No date, year, or season is given, so the event cannot be placed in time.
  • The core perception comes from the father, not the letter writer, and the father gives no testimony of his own.
  • A single unexplained outdoor sound on the day a relative died is easily explained by coincidence or ordinary sounds.
Uncertain or missing
  • It is unknown whether the host reproduced the letter's wording exactly.
  • The writer's connection to the events is stated only in the first person (“my father,” “my grandmother”).
Passages cited
  • 0:22
  • 1:07

What the model inferred (not said on air): The component scores are my own judgment. Closeness to the source is mid-range (a close, named source, but not the writer's own experience). Specifics are moderate (place and times, no date). Consistency is high. Other explanations are moderately available. Caution is middling. The total before the cap is about 59 to 62, and the secondhand cap sets the ceiling.

Evidence strength
Support in the story that others could check
12

There is only the letter read on air, plus a claimed witness who does not speak. A place that could be checked and two clock times are given, but nothing was examined or verified in the broadcast.

Evidence for and against
For
  • Specifics that could be checked in principle are named: northern Marin County and the Frank Lloyd Wright Civic Center Library.
  • Two stated times create a sequence that could be tested.
Against
  • No document, photograph, or recording is produced or examined.
  • No witness other than the letter writer's story is heard on the air.
  • No date is given, so none of the specifics can actually be traced.
Uncertain or missing
  • The broadcast does not say whether the letter was read word for word.
  • The broadcast does not address whether the mother or nurse would back up the times.
Passages cited
  • 0:07
  • 1:07

What the model inferred (not said on air): I place this in the 11 to 25 band because named places and times are given but unchecked, and a second witness (the father) is claimed but not heard. No outside check was made, so the cap of 50 is not reached.

Creepiness
How unsettling the story is, for entertainment
30

A single unclear moan at the moment of a relative's death is mildly eerie, but there is no menace, intrusion, or physical contact.

Evidence for and against
For
  • The moan is heard on an otherwise deserted path with [quote withheld] present.
  • The sound is tied to a death that the father did not yet know about.
Against
  • The event is brief and consists of one sound. No figure, threat, or escalation is described.
  • The story ends with a calm folk-name explanation rather than an ominous note.
Uncertain or missing
  • The original letter may have had more detail that the broadcast left out.
Passages cited
  • 0:49

What the model inferred (not said on air): My score treats the timing of the death as eerie but not threatening, which puts it near the “mildly eerie” anchor.

Originality
How different it is from familiar recurring details
56

A familiar crisis-and-death coincidence, made somewhat distinctive by the precisely noted 2:40 p.m. watch reading and the [quote withheld] folk name.

Evidence for and against
For
  • Checking a wristwatch at the moment of the sound is a concrete, unusual detail.
  • The story supplies a named folk term, the [quote withheld]
Against
  • A sound or sign that coincides with an unknown death is a well-known pattern.
  • There is a single theme, with no distinctive setting, figure, or extended story.
Uncertain or missing
  • Newness compared with the rest of the archive cannot be assessed from this one part of the broadcast.
Passages cited
  • 1:25

What the model inferred (not said on air): My provisional model score treats this as a familiar pattern plus one distinctive detail, so it is mid-range. The published figure may shift with how rare it is in the archive.

Scoring confidence 0.65 · analysis confidence 0.75 · checked against outside sources: no · evidence available: A written letter (first-person story by “Chris in Mesa”) read on the air by the host.; No documents, photographs, or recordings produced or examined.; No on-air testimony from the person who had the experience or from any other witness.. The originality score blends the model's score (45) with how rare the story's details are across the archive. This method is still provisional.

Ordinary explanations to consider

These are possibilities only. None is a finding about what happened.

  • An ordinary outdoor sound (wind, a distant animal, machinery, or a person) was heard at 2:40 p.m. by chance on the same afternoon the grandmother died. The coincidence of timing is the notable part. · The letter itself says the source was never found and the path was deserted. The moan is described as coming “out of nowhere,” and the timing match rests on two separately stated clock readings.
  • The [quote withheld] is an ordinary outdoor sensation, and wind noise could explain the low sound. · The letter links a breeze and the moan in the same sentence: [quote withheld]
  • The moan and the death were connected afterward. The letter was written once the death was known, and the sequence may have been rebuilt around the watch time. · The story is a letter written after the events, passed along by the writer from the father's account. No record made at the time is described.

What stands out

The story is built around one precisely timed sound: a moan heard at 2:40 p.m. that is later matched to a relative's death ten minutes before the nurse's call. It also gives a folk name for the experience, the [quote withheld] The experience is reported by the writer's father, not by the person who wrote the letter.

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